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All About Motorsports writes:
"Predictions for the 2012 Chase"
Posted by cjs3872 on September 11, 2012
Viewed 330 times


I have previously made my predictions for this year's Chase (see post #367 of the Federated Auto Parts 400 comments page), but fo my first-ever blog, I'm going to post them here, as well. I'm going to try to predict a winner for the nine non-restrictor plate races in the Chase, as well as the top 5 at Talladega (Chase Race #4) in order of car number. I'm also going to gve a predicted order of finish in the Chase for all 12 drivers. Future blogs will involve lists of the best-ever races, drivers, etc. in my view, and we can have a discussion on them here without clogging up the comments pages too badly, though discussion there is certainly fine. And around New Year's, I always give pre-season predctions, and will do a blog on that.

Now, without further delay, here are my predictions for the 2012 chase:

Individual Races:

Chase Race #1-Chicago: 48-Jimmie Johnson
Chase Race #2-Loudon: 11-Denny Hamlin
Chase Race #3-Dover: 48-Jimmie Johnson (would make him the all-time winningest driver there)
Chase Race #4-Talladega (top five): 2-Brad Keselowski, 11-Denny Hamlin, 20-Joey Logano (don't laugh, he's pretty good there), 29-Kevin Harvick, and 88-Dale Earnhardt, Jr. (there's go to be HMS representation, doesn't there?)
Chase Race #5-Charlotte: 5-Kasey Kahne
Chase Race #6-Kansas: 99-Carl Edwards
Chase Race #7-Martinsville: 11-Denny Hamlin
Chase Race #8-Texas: 17-Matt Kenseth
Chase Race #9-Phoenix: 18-Kyle Busch
Chase Race #10- 2-Brad Keselowski

Championship Standings Predictions:

1. 48-Jimmie Johnson
2. 11-Denny Hamlin
3. 16-Greg Biffle
4. 15-Clint Bowyer
5. 2-Brad Keselowski
6. 88-Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
7. 14-Tony Stewart
8. 5-Kasey Kahne
9. 24-Jeff Gordon
10. 29-Kevin Harvick
11. 17-Matt Kenseth (only because of his current status at Roush)
12. 56-Martin Truex, Jr.

Note that I have at least two, and possibly three races in the Chase won by non-Chasers. Also, do not be surprised if Carl Edwards and/or Kyle Busch are among the top ten in points scored during the Chase, and if one of those two were among the top five point scorers, it would not surprise me in the least. After all, there's no more pressure on them, and neither Busch or Edwards have ever thrived under pressure.

Special thanks to NicoRosbergFan for showing me how to become a blogger.

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